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download (20)After several scary years for proponents of physical media in the home entertainment industry, it’s looking like things have stabilized for now. While just about everyone agrees that digital sales and rentals are the inevitable future of the industry, DVDs and Blu-ray discs still seem to have some life in them.

Michael Arrington, senior analyst with research firm IHS, recently spoke at the Ultra HD Physical and Digital Media Conference at the NAB Show. Arrington revealed that his firm’s research predicts that consumer spending in  home entertainment will set a record around 2017 with more than $30 billion in revenue. While digital mediums will control the lion’s share of that revenue, discs will still make up a decent fraction.
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Says Arrington:

“The home entertainment business is stabilizing . . . And the curves may look scary, but physical media will still be around.
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We have plenty of opportunity to put content on disc.”

Do discs really have a decent life span ahead of them yet? What percentage of your media library will still be disc-based in three years?

[via Home Media Magazine]

2 Responses to “IHS: Physical Discs to Stick Around for a While”

  1. Member [Join Now]

    still the cheapest long term storage of bits. has distribution channels already in place. hard to beat.

    streaming data long distances even over fiber optics still incurs dropouts, and almost all streaming is compressed in both audio and video compared to bluray 2k.
    and you want us to buy 4k machines. yeh. discs will be around for a long time.


  2. Visitor [Join Now]
    utazdevl [visitor]

    The drop off the HE business experienced was not about the introduction of Digital Distribution, it was the popping of a bubble that saw people buying new release, TV and Catalog product on DVD. For a brief time, having a vast library of physical discs with your favorite shows and movies was “cool”. When that fad passed, the bubble burst and people stopped buying Catalog titles and TV shows and limited their New Release purchases, which is where we find ourselves now.

    No doubt Digital Distribution methods will eventually take over physical sales, but the bulk of people I know still prefer to buy physically. It will take at least a generation of people in the Digital world to eradicate physical sales.