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(R)editorial: 2018 Oscars Predictions

We made it! The Academy Awards, with all the spiff, splendor, and spectacle one could hope for, are happening this Sunday. Hollywood royalty will put on their makeup and tuck in their tummies before they stroll down the red carpet.

Unlike past years, we’ve really not got a shoo-in for the best picture winner, nor are some of the other major categories a true lock. It’s important to remember that while the Academy has made some strides toward diversity and youth in recent years, the average Oscar voter is still old, white, and male. So making Oscar winner predictions is as much an exercise in demographic psychology as it is in evaluating the merit of the film/person being nominated.

That said, your fearless scribe has attempted to prognosticate this year’s winners in the major categories. The film/person that, in my opinion, WILL win will be in bold and the film/person that SHOULD win will be asterisked.

Take a look at my predictions, and then jump down to the comments section to let us know who you think the big winners will be. Here we go!

Best picture

Call Me By Your Name

Darkest Hour


Get Out

Lady Bird

Phantom Thread

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best director

Christopher Nolan — Dunkirk*

Jordan Peele — Get Out

Greta Gerwig — Lady Bird

Paul Thomas Anderson — Phantom Thread

Guillermo del Toro — The Shape of Water

Best actor

Timothée Chalamet — Call Me By Your Name

Daniel Day Lewis — Phantom Thread

Daniel Kaluuya — Get Out

Gary Oldman — Darkest Hour*

Denzel Washington — Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Best actress

Sally Hawkins — The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Margot Robbie — I, Tonya*

Saoirse Ronan — Lady Bird

Meryl Streep — The Post

Best supporting actor

Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project*

Woody Harrelson — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Richard Jenkins — The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer — All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best supporting actress

Mary J. Blige — Mudbound

Allison Janney — I, Tonya*

Lesley Manville — Phantom Thread

Laurie Metcalf — Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer — The Shape of Water

2 Responses to “(R)editorial: 2018 Oscars Predictions”

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    Shemp Howard [shemp-howard]

    Got 5 out of 6 right ;)

    “The Shape of Water”

    Guillermo del Toro
    “The Shape of Water”

    Gary Oldman
    “Darkest Hour”

    Frances McDormand
    “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

    Sam Rockwell
    “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

    Allison Janney
    “I, Tonya”